Thursday, March 5, 2009

Box Office Predictions 3/6-3/8

This weekend is interesting. The only wide release is Watchmen, which looks to break 300's March record and The Matrix Reloaded's R-Rated weekend. The reviews have been unsteady, but that won't stop me (or the legions of other fanboys) from seeing it. But those reviews won't matter; there is nothing else to see. That in mind, it should break both records and then fall off quickly as next weekend has 3 wide releases. Overall, here's what we're looking

1) Watchmen (92.3 million)
2) Tyler Perry's Madea Goes To Jail (7.5 million)
3) Slumdog Millionaire (6.5 million)
4) Taken (6.1 million)
5) Jonas Brothers: The 3D Concert Experience (5.2 million)
6) Paul Blart: Mall Cop (4.1 million)
7) He's Just Not That Into You (3.4 million)
8) Confessions of a Shopaholic (2.9 million)
9) Coraline (2.4 million)
10) Fired Up! (1.8 million)

Opening in limited release are (most notably) 12, The Horsemen, and Everlasting Moments. The Horsemen will be at 75 theaters, looking at 4k per for a total of 300,000. Everlasting Moments is at 5 theaters, looking at 13k per for a total of 65,000. 12's theater count isn't listed, but from what I gather its only at 1 theater in the NYC area, which leads me to believe its count won't be higher than four. Regardless, look for it to pull in about 7k per screen.

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